Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Why Hillary Still Cannot Win

Although it looks like Hillary will win by about 10%, it is still not enough. She can continue fighting, but she cannot convince super delegates.

Why?
  • Hillary is under immense media pressure to quit. (see NYT editorial set to be published tomorrow).
  • Hillary must ask super delegates to overthrow Barack's lead in pledged delegates and the popular vote. This is the fundamental problem: there is absolutely no way that super delegates are going to enrage countless new voters, blacks, and others by taking the nomination away from Obama. Only a huge margin of victory tonight could have done that--and 10% is not huge.

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